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Every conversation about AI infrastructure eventually lands on the same constraint: memory. Each HBM3 stack — 24 GB of DRAM — carries roughly 45 kg of embodied CO₂e. A single GPU with six stacks holds nearly 270 kg in memory alone, before the processor.

High Bandwidth Flash (HBF) proposes a different idea: apply HBM-style TSV stacking to 3D NAND flash instead of DRAM. The result sits between HBM and NVMe SSDs — HBM-class bandwidth (1.6 TB/s), flash-class capacity (512 GB per stack), ~10 µs read latency. Essentially memory specialized for inference rather than training.

I built a preliminary HBF Gen 1 model for the REEL LCI database to see what that shift does to embodied carbon.

Two bar charts titled 'The HBF memory carbon inversion'. Left panel, embodied carbon per stack: DDR5 DRAM 1 GB at 0.8 kg CO2e, HBM3 8-Hi 24 GB at 45, HBM3 12-Hi 36 GB at 61, and HBF Gen 1 512 GB highest at 158. Right panel, carbon intensity per gigabyte: DDR5 0.8, HBM3 8-Hi 1.9, HBM3 12-Hi 1.7, and HBF Gen 1 lowest at 0.31 kg CO2e per GB, roughly 6 times lower than HBM3 8-Hi.

Per stack, HBF is the most carbon-intensive memory component here — roughly 3.5x an HBM3 8-Hi stack (where it lands against HBM4 is TBD). But per gigabyte of capacity, the picture inverts: HBF comes out about 6x more carbon-efficient per GB.

The packaging mix flips too. HBM is ~70–75% packaging carbon — the through-silicon vias, die thinning, and precision stacking that make it expensive to build. HBF is mostly wafer and die, because each NAND die packs roughly 10x the capacity of a DRAM die, so capacity outruns the higher per-die fabrication burden.

The system-level effect is what makes this interesting. A model too big for HBM today gets sharded across multiple GPUs. Hold it in one device's HBF pool instead, and fewer servers serve the same model — less total embodied carbon at the fleet level, even as each server carries more memory carbon.

A few caveats matter. HBF is pre-commercial, with samples targeted for the second half of 2026, the model still has gaps, and the per-GB comparison flatters HBF — you cannot run latency-critical work on 10 µs flash. These are screening-level estimates from a virtual fab, not a real manufacturer's process.

As the memory hierarchy deepens, counting HBM stacks and multiplying by a single carbon factor stops being enough. The modeling has to follow the architecture.

Jonathan Balsvik

Authored by

Jonathan Balsvik

LCA practitioner focused on the electronics sector. Jonathan has delivered life cycle assessments and product carbon footprints for a range of hyperscalers and companies across the semiconductor value chain.

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